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Wall Street Volatility Gauge Hits 4.5-Year High, Traders Lift Rate-Cut Bets on China Tariffs

Wall Street Volatility Gauge Hits 4.5-Year High, Traders Lift Rate-Cut Bets on China Tariffs


CoinDesk
2025-04-04 11:30:26

The VIX index, which shows the equity market's expectations for 30-day volatility and is often called Wall Street's "fear gauge," rose to 39, the highest since October 2020, after China imposed retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. , data from TradingView show. The increase, coupled with the sharp sell-off in the U.S. stock-index futures, prompted traders to increase estimates of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts to 116 basis points this year, up from 100 basis points before the China news hit the wires, CME's FedWatch tool shows. Bitcoin (BTC) traded 0.7% lower on the day at $82,500 at press time, having earlier put in highs above $84,600. Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility, represented by Deribit's DVOL index, rose to an annualized 54.6%, the highest in two weeks.


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